Tag Archives: US economy

Will The Fed or Won’t The Fed? Five Reasons It Likely Won’t!

Come the December Fed meeting and after the strong jobs report that was recently released, does the Fed have any choice but to raise rates? The betting in the futures market leans to the side of a Fed tightening, or raising, of rates. But some of the actual economic evidence may seem to indicate that […]

Are U.S. Ports Providing Evidence For Why The Fed May Not Raise Rates?

Is the shipping volume at key U.S. ports telling us anything about the overall strength of the economy? Off 10% in September and October, the traffic at the three key U.S. ports may be signaling that retailers aren’t buying and that the economy may in fact be weaker than some think! Could this weakness be another subtle indication that the […]

9 Charts Indicating That The Fed May Not Raise Rates!

The Federal Reserve has a dual mandate: Stable prices and maximum employment! Given the state of that mandate vis a vis the current condition of the U.S. economy, the answer to the question of if and when the Fed will begin to raise rates is that no one knows. But nonetheless that question has become […]

Analysis Of The October Jobs Report: What Does It All Mean?

In other words, will the Fed raise rates? On its surface the October jobs report blew away expectations showing that the economy added 280,000 jobs when the ‘experts’ and analysts were expecting only a 180,000 job add! In addition the unemployment rate ticked down to 5% from 5.1%. These results would make even the most […]

The Number .0025 Has Captured The World’s Attention!

Will the Fed or won’t the Fed raise its benchmark rate 1/4 of 1% sometime this year or next? That singular question has transfixed and captivated the world’s markets, politicians and corporate decision makers since the ‘great recession’ and the subsequent Fed move to bring the target fed funds rate down to a range of 0-.25%. […]

Los Angeles Ultra High-End Homes…And You Thought New York City Was Expensive! (Video)

luxury real estate

Anyone looking to buy a home in New York City’s tonier neighborhoods knows that sticker shock is a definite possibility! Asking prices in Manhattan have been known to top the $100MM mark, driven in no small part by foreign buyers looking for a currency storehouse. But these apartments, if strictly for investment, can be left empty with little impact on […]

The Fed And The Phillips Curve

How will the Fed’s dual mandate of stable prices and maximum employment affect the future direction of interest rates! If and when an important macroeconomic Federal Reserve indicator fails to be relevant but that fact is not fully recognized by the Fed, how will decisions concerning interest rates based on that failed data input impact the real […]

Does A Correlation Exist Between Real Estate Prices And Technology Stock Prices?

investing,technology stocks

The health of real estate remains a constant focus and question for both economists and market participants! So that said, and in the never-ending search for real estate green shoots (particularly by market participants), can we perhaps consider that a correlation between real estate and big technology stocks exists and that the performance of the latter will […]

The Case For Capitalism!

(This article originally appeared at LinkedIn here) Capitalism Versus Socialism Going out on a limb I would say that the majority who will read this article at LinkedIn or in some other business oriented venue are, in one form or another, capitalists by nature who are trying to maximize wealth and corporate performance while still serving […]

Is The High Yield Bond Market Sending A Recessionary Signal For The U.S. Economy?

In other words when it comes to high yield bond spreads and the strength of the U.S. economy, is a nod as good as a wink to a blind man? Yesterday an article at the Hallmark Abstract Service blog spoke to the high-end real estate market in the United States and whether sales above a certain dollar […]