Tag Archives: economic growth

Post-Election: Exuberance In Stocks, Carnage In Bonds And An Unknown For Real Estate!

Ten-year Treasury Bond Yield chart

Depending on your perspective as an investor in stocks, bonds or real estate, the post-election action in the financial markets has either been phenomenally great or dismally destructive! Of course if your portfolio is well diversified as the experts suggest that it should be, then that makes for an entirely different story altogether. Bond Market […]

2017 Residential Real Estate Market Predictions!

residential real estate market forecast for 2017

As 2016 quickly winds down, the question now on the minds of homebuyers and home sellers is what 2017 will portend for the residential real estate market in the United States… Early on a Monday morning these are some points pondered by Hallmark Abstract Service with the thoughts from real estate industry giants Zillow and Realtor.com offered […]

The Yield Curve: Is A U.S. Recession On The Horizon?

treasury yield curve,recession signals,economy

In my first job as a municipal bond analyst and strategist a key datapoint to consider was the steepness of the yield curve! When the curve was at its steepest, investors would be ‘getting paid’ in the form of higher yields to assume the price and reinvestment risk of moving out to longer maturities. When flat, meaning […]

Instant Replay! ‘U.S. Business In The Hands Of Federal Reserve Academicians!’

The Federal Reserve, after raising its benchmark fed funds rate .25% in December 2015, yesterday left rates unchanged! The December increase was implemented despite inflation remaining well below the Fed’s target rate of 2% and in the face of an economic recovery that could be, at best, termed tepid. At the time some speculated that […]

If Money-Printing Equals Inflation, Why Don’t We Have Any?

inflation,federal reserve balance sheet

Summary: Real estate and stocks have been doing very well but… Economics 101 says we should have inflation after the amount of money the Federal Reserve has put into the system! But we don’t and this article explains why… The global central banks have injected many trillions of dollars into their given economies looking for […]

The Number .0025 Has Captured The World’s Attention!

Will the Fed or won’t the Fed raise its benchmark rate 1/4 of 1% sometime this year or next? That singular question has transfixed and captivated the world’s markets, politicians and corporate decision makers since the ‘great recession’ and the subsequent Fed move to bring the target fed funds rate down to a range of 0-.25%. […]

U.S. Business In The Hands Of Federal Reserve Academicians!

What is it that can and often will separate successful businessmen and investors from those who may not be? Often it’s the ability to ‘pull the trigger’ on decisions that may not be that easy to make. In the stock market the best time to buy is often the very time that everyone else is […]

The Federal Reserve Needs To Raise Rates So That It Can Cut Rates!

Confused? The Fed raising interest rates in order to be able to cut them at some point in the future is the rationale I am hearing on the business news!  The reason is that if (when) the United States economy heads into another recession, the Fed will have ammunition available to be able to take proactive […]

Is the Fed behind the proverbial interest rate eight ball?

Whatever industry you happen to be working in, a healthy and consistently growing US economy will likely be one of your most important keys to success! Certainly my business of providing the title insurance for buyers and refinancers of real estate depends heavily on a growing economy, consumer confidence, a vibrant transactional marketplace and available financing […]

New York City, Mayor Bill de Blasio And Lessons In Leadership!

While a title insurance company’s blog is primarily a venue for business news and ideas, not politics, the fact of the matter is that for better or for worse the two are often inextricably linked! For the purposes of this article my politics do not matter (they say that politics is one of the primary topics […]