Category Archives: economy

Stock Market Poised For A Staggering Decline? The Television Commercial Indicator Says It Very Well Might Be!

stock market photo

I know what investors will say…’Who is this title insurance guy to be predicting that the stock market is ready to rollover, correct or decline precipitously?’… Is he a high-priced analysts at a hedge fund or talking head on the business news? You know, the ones who will typically say after a big down day in […]

The U.S. Economy: Are Bonds Or Stocks Telling The True Story?

10-year treasury bond yield chart

On the heels of this mornings employment report indicating jobs creation below even the most pessimistic economist forecast along with revisions lower to the prior months, why are the bond and stock markets telling two such very different stories? This morning at 8:30AM the Employment Report was released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics showing new […]

If You’re In Business How Will You Choose Your Candidate For President?

On Tuesday, November 8, 2016 Americans will be called upon to cast a vote for the new POTUS along with a slew of Congressmen and Senators! For many Americans the choice, particularly for the new occupant of the White House, may be a difficult one. That said, this article is not meant to advocate for one […]

What ‘Brexit’ May Mean For The U.S. Real Estate Market!

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Now that the ‘Brexit’ vote is in the books and ‘Leave’ the EU side is the victor, what might this mean for U.S. real estate? Some facts we know… Global Stock Markets Are Swooning! The British Pound Is Getting Hammered Versus Other Global Currencies! Interest Rates Are Falling Precipitously!  The List Of 7 Potential Impacts From […]

The Yield Curve: Is A U.S. Recession On The Horizon?

treasury yield curve,recession signals,economy

In my first job as a municipal bond analyst and strategist a key datapoint to consider was the steepness of the yield curve! When the curve was at its steepest, investors would be ‘getting paid’ in the form of higher yields to assume the price and reinvestment risk of moving out to longer maturities. When flat, meaning […]

Last Weeks Economic Acronyms: PIIGS, BDI, FOMC!

EU,PIIGS

How many acronyms will fit in one article title? For this weeks articles we’ll cap it at three! Many of this past weeks articles at the Hallmark Abstract Service blog focused on the global economy in conjunction with the turmoil in financial markets around the world. These three acronyms played a critical role… PIIGS: These are the five […]

Are The EU PIIGS About To Start Squealing?

investing,risk and reward,EU PIIGS

Summary: As the migrant crisis in Europe worsens serious steps to address it are being considered. One proposal is for passports to be required in order to cross from one EU country to another. Would such a drastic move spell the beginning of the end for the Eurozone as a viable entity? And if so […]

Another Negative Century Milestone, 300, Pierced By The Baltic Dry Index (BDI)!

Before you ask yourself the question’ What is the Baltic Dry Index and why should I care if it drops?’, consider… Consider that the article titled ‘The Baltic Dry Index Falls To Historic Lows! One Question Though….‘ was written only ONE MONTH AGO when the BDI broke 400 for the first time ever (Note: The peak of […]

Oy Vey! Text Of Today’s Congressional Testimony From Janet Yellen…!

Janet Yellen,Federal Reserve,fed funds chart

Did Janet Yellen raise the fed funds rate in December only to turn around and lower it now? With the selloff in the equity market, sharp decline in the price of crude oil and uncertainty surrounding the U.S. and global economies, the LAST thing we need is for a crisis of confidence to develop concerning […]

Investor Fear: The Treasury Bond Chart In This Article Is Worth 1,000 Words!

federal reserve,interest rate chart

In mid-December 2015, and for the first-time in about eight years, the Janet Yellen-led Federal Reserve raised short-term rates .25%! In a normal financial, political and economic environment one would therefore assume that the economy is in strong enough to warrant a rate hike and that inflation is at or very close to the Fed’s target rate. […]