Economic theory has always held that an inverted U.S. treasury yield curve could be used as a reliable signal for a recession looming on the horizon. According to the Federal Reserve, however, this time is different! This Time Is Different “How different the position of the investor today!” was the headline for an ad that ran […]
Update December 7, 2016: The new fee discussed below has been passed by the Suffolk County legislature per the County website… $300.00 per document MORTGAGE VERIFICATION FEE effective January 1, 2017 In this short video clip Nancy Pelosi opines about the proposed increase in certain real estate fees and the implementation of some wholly new ones by […]
It’s certainly no secret that in many of the nations housing markets the price to rent an apartment has been going in one direction…up! But, as the famous phrase about gravity suggests, what goes up must eventually come down. After all whether it was tulips during the 1600’s, technology stocks during the late 1990’s or […]
In my first job as a municipal bond analyst and strategist a key datapoint to consider was the steepness of the yield curve! When the curve was at its steepest, investors would be ‘getting paid’ in the form of higher yields to assume the price and reinvestment risk of moving out to longer maturities. When flat, meaning […]
Summary: Has the bubble in New York City real estate been fully reflated and is about to burst? The highest rental apartment vacancy rate in 9-years coupled with a construction boom and concessions being offered to attract tenants suggests that the answer may be yes! ‘Manhattan Rental Apartment Vacancies Hit A 9-Year High! (Video)’ This sparks the question […]
How will the Fed’s dual mandate of stable prices and maximum employment affect the future direction of interest rates! If and when an important macroeconomic Federal Reserve indicator fails to be relevant but that fact is not fully recognized by the Fed, how will decisions concerning interest rates based on that failed data input impact the real […]
Back on April 24th an article here examined the May 2nd Mayweather vs. Pacquiao fight in Las Vegas vis-a-vis the cost of a ticket to watch in-person at the MGM Grand Garden Arena! At the time I wrote, ‘…Because the tickets are sold in the secondary marketplace, prices will fluctuate up until the day of the fight […]
